Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.088572e-03 1.238117e-03 0.001389 0.001554 0.001726 0.001901 0.002092
2025-05-04 9.110468e-04 1.128929e-03 0.001357 0.001612 0.001886 0.002171 0.002487
2025-05-11 6.881711e-04 9.451659e-04 0.001225 0.001548 0.001903 0.002280 0.002706
2025-05-18 4.931925e-04 7.694075e-04 0.001085 0.001460 0.001884 0.002341 0.002867
2025-05-25 3.671205e-04 6.571339e-04 0.001004 0.001429 0.001920 0.002459 0.003084
2025-06-01 2.484970e-04 5.360669e-04 0.000901 0.001363 0.001910 0.002519 0.003234
2025-06-08 1.741305e-04 4.598242e-04 0.000844 0.001346 0.001950 0.002632 0.003440
2025-06-15 1.396877e-04 4.342690e-04 0.000848 0.001399 0.002071 0.002835 0.003746
2025-06-22 8.621285e-05 3.656961e-04 0.000788 0.001369 0.002090 0.002919 0.003914
2025-06-29 5.544124e-05 3.258902e-04 0.000763 0.001380 0.002155 0.003054 0.004139
2025-07-06 4.980937e-05 3.346689e-04 0.000807 0.001478 0.002326 0.003312 0.004504
2025-07-13 2.360603e-05 2.852177e-04 0.000761 0.001457 0.002349 0.003395 0.004667
2025-07-20 8.441425e-07 2.078405e-04 0.000676 0.001398 0.002347 0.003474 0.004858
2025-07-27 NaN 1.819340e-04 0.000670 0.001447 0.002481 0.003719 0.005246
2025-08-03 NaN 1.182829e-04 0.000586 0.001381 0.002469 0.003788 0.005429
2025-08-10 NaN 6.230385e-05 0.000493 0.001295 0.002425 0.003816 0.005564
2025-08-17 NaN 3.318449e-05 0.000442 0.001264 0.002450 0.003928 0.005797
2025-08-24 NaN 9.059157e-06 0.000375 0.001201 0.002429 0.003979 0.005955
2025-08-31 NaN 9.228589e-07 0.000338 0.001184 0.002467 0.004103 0.006199
2025-09-07 NaN 2.830885e-08 0.000342 0.001233 0.002598 0.004343 0.006581
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000303 0.001205 0.002618 0.004440 0.006792
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000286 0.001214 0.002690 0.004604 0.007081
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000314 0.001307 0.002880 0.004918 0.007552